Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Miller 60.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 57.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Lowry
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lowry
Miller
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
3
Lowry
Miller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Lowry
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Miller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
62.0% (582)
-6.3%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
65.9% (126)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
50.7% (71)
-11.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Lowry
Miller
Home
54.3% (429)
63.0% (416)
Away
53.5% (385)
60.1% (363)
By Period
Lowry
Miller
P1
53.1%
60.7%
P2
55.2%
63.9%
P3
54.4%
60.2%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
64.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |