Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 57.1%). Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Schwartz 54.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 76.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 79.3%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 67.0%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Miller
Schwartz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Miller
Schwartz
Last 5: Miller 1-4 Schwartz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
0
4
Miller
Schwartz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Schwartz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
45.8% (59)
+10.5%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
64.4% (101)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
0.0% (1)
+47.4%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Schwartz is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Miller
Schwartz
Home
58.6% (734)
61.0% (82)
Away
54.1% (727)
53.2% (79)
By Period
Miller
Schwartz
P1
57.1%
58.6%
P2
57.0%
46.8%
P3
54.7%
64.2%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
64.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
56.3%
Schwartz
62.0%▲
55.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |