Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Evans 55.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 81.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 50.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Miller
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Miller
Evans
Last 8: Miller 4-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Miller
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Miller
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
55.6% (522)
+6.4%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
72.7% (11)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
55.2% (210)
-4.5%
On power play, Evans has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Miller shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Miller
Evans
Home
63.0% (416)
54.7% (402)
Away
60.1% (363)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Miller
Evans
P1
60.7%
57.9%
P2
63.9%
55.2%
P3
60.2%
53.6%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
64.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |