J.T. Miller vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 54.8%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 34 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Pageau 54.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 42-37 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 71.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Miller
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
42
(79 meetings)
37
42
Miller
Pageau
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
26
8
Miller
Pageau
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
23
Miller
Pageau
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
11
Miller
Pageau
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
55.8% (9,514)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
57.0% (1,007)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
49.6% (2,077)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,864).
Home / Away
Miller
Pageau
Home
56.0% (4,622)
56.3% (6,255)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Miller
Pageau
P1
54.8%
54.7%
P2
55.7%
56.3%
P3
54.1%
53.5%
OT
62.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |