Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 54.3%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Thornton 54.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 65.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 67.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 61.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Miller
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Miller
Thornton
Last 10: Miller 10-0 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
0
Miller
Thornton
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
53.5% (6,640)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
57.2% (1,387)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
56.7% (427)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Miller
Thornton
Home
56.0% (4,622)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Miller
Thornton
P1
54.8%
55.0%
P2
55.7%
53.3%
P3
54.1%
54.4%
OT
62.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |