Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (61.6% vs 61.6%). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Toews 60.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 54.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 52.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Miller
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Miller
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
62.6% (728)
-0.6%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
59.4% (143)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
46.9% (32)
+3.8%
On power play, Miller has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Miller
Toews
Home
63.0% (416)
61.1% (455)
Away
60.1% (363)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Miller
Toews
P1
60.7%
59.7%
P2
63.9%
66.7%
P3
60.2%
58.4%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |