Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Toews 57.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 28-16 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 68.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 69.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 69.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Miller
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
28
(44 meetings)
16
28
Miller
Toews
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
13
Miller
Toews
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
9
Miller
Toews
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
6
Miller
Toews
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
57.2% (13,079)
-1.9%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
63.3% (3,254)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
53.6% (1,810)
-5.2%
On power play, Toews has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Home / Away
Miller
Toews
Home
56.0% (4,622)
59.7% (9,212)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
56.1% (8,962)
By Period
Miller
Toews
P1
54.8%
58.6%
P2
55.7%
57.9%
P3
54.1%
57.3%
OT
62.3%
58.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |