Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 55.3%). Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 39 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 67-58 in 125 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 63.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
67
(125 meetings)
58
67
Miller
Staal
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
29
22
Miller
Staal
51 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
13
26
Miller
Staal
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
16
19
Miller
Staal
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
55.9% (14,654)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
62.7% (1,762)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
47.9% (2,907)
+0.5%
On power play, Staal has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
56.0% (4,622)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
54.8%
55.2%
P2
55.7%
55.9%
P3
54.1%
54.8%
OT
62.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |