Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Lehtera 50.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 82.7%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 85.0%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 82.4%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Miller
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Miller
Lehtera
Last 8: Miller 0-8 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
4
Miller
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
4
Miller
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
50.4% (2,714)
+4.9%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
55.8% (339)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
41.3% (104)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Miller
Lehtera
Home
56.0% (4,622)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Miller
Lehtera
P1
54.8%
53.2%
P2
55.7%
50.6%
P3
54.1%
48.1%
OT
62.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |