Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Arcobello 50.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 71.0%
Defensive zone
Arcobello 69.9%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 69.0%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Miller
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Miller
Arcobello
Last 6: Miller 2-4 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Arcobello
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
3
Miller
Arcobello
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
50.6% (1,408)
+4.7%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
60.8% (130)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
36.8% (57)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Miller
Arcobello
Home
56.0% (4,622)
53.2% (745)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
48.9% (850)
By Period
Miller
Arcobello
P1
54.8%
53.2%
P2
55.7%
51.3%
P3
54.1%
48.4%
OT
62.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |