Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Kastelic 58.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 93.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 74.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Miller
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Miller
Kastelic
Last 8: Miller 7-1 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
0
Miller
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
60.8% (362)
+1.2%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
83.3% (6)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
56.2% (146)
-5.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Miller shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Miller
Kastelic
Home
63.0% (416)
60.3% (242)
Away
60.1% (363)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Miller
Kastelic
P1
60.7%
58.9%
P2
63.9%
57.3%
P3
60.2%
64.0%
OT
60.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
64.4%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |