Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs McTavish 48.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 21-8 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 97.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 96.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 90.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 95.3%
95.3%
4.7%
Miller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
8
(29 meetings)
21
8
Miller
McTavish
Last 10: Miller 7-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
10
4
Miller
McTavish
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
2
Miller
McTavish
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
6
2
Miller
McTavish
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
48.2% (2,790)
+7.1%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
52.8% (436)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
34.3% (35)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Miller
McTavish
Home
56.0% (4,622)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Miller
McTavish
P1
54.8%
50.0%
P2
55.7%
47.7%
P3
54.1%
48.4%
OT
62.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |