Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.1%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 80.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 50.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Miller
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Miller
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Miller
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
46.9% (162)
+8.6%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
73.2% (56)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
100.0% (2)
-54.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Miller
Duchene
Home
53.5% (578)
58.4% (125)
Away
54.7% (655)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Miller
Duchene
P1
58.3%
56.9%
P2
53.5%
52.5%
P3
50.1%
51.9%
OT
70.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
54.1%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |