Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs McLeod 58.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 81.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 85.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Miller
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Miller
McLeod
Last 10: Miller 9-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
2
Miller
McLeod
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
6
Miller
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
59.2% (2,894)
-3.9%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
57.4% (101)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
53.5% (525)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Miller
McLeod
Home
56.0% (4,622)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Miller
McLeod
P1
54.8%
58.7%
P2
55.7%
59.9%
P3
54.1%
56.3%
OT
62.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |