Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Richards 50.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 77.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 77.9%
Neutral zone
Richards 75.2%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Miller
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Miller
Richards
Last 5: Miller 1-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Miller
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Miller
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Miller
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
50.0% (3,722)
+5.3%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
54.6% (445)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
51.4% (502)
-3.0%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Miller
Richards
Home
56.0% (4,622)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Miller
Richards
P1
54.8%
49.6%
P2
55.7%
52.3%
P3
54.1%
49.3%
OT
62.3%
58.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Mike Richards |