Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Richards 50.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 77.4%
Defensive zone
Richards 76.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 74.8%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Miller
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Miller
Richards
Last 5: Miller 1-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Miller
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Miller
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Miller
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,567)
50.0% (3,722)
+5.2%
Power Play
57.8% (1,266)
54.6% (445)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (900)
51.4% (502)
-3.3%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,829).
Miller shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Miller
Richards
Home
55.8% (4,486)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
53.8% (4,247)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Miller
Richards
P1
54.6%
49.6%
P2
55.6%
52.3%
P3
53.9%
49.3%
OT
61.9%
58.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
54.8%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Mike Richards |