Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Thompson 52.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 62.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 84.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 66.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
19
(32 meetings)
13
19
Miller
Thompson
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
3
Miller
Thompson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
10
Miller
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
6
Miller
Thompson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
54.1% (5,812)
+1.2%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
54.8% (135)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
47.9% (1,381)
+0.5%
On power play, Miller has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
56.0% (4,622)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
54.8%
53.2%
P2
55.7%
52.9%
P3
54.1%
52.8%
OT
62.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |