Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 27-9 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 97.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 82.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 91.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Miller
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
9
(36 meetings)
27
9
Miller
Bjugstad
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
10
2
Miller
Bjugstad
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
13
3
Miller
Bjugstad
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Miller
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
48.6% (6,646)
+6.7%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
55.2% (829)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
44.3% (614)
+4.1%
On even strength, Miller has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Miller
Bjugstad
Home
56.0% (4,622)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Miller
Bjugstad
P1
54.8%
48.9%
P2
55.7%
49.1%
P3
54.1%
48.5%
OT
62.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |