Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 90.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 95.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 91.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Miller
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Miller
Foligno
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
3
Miller
Foligno
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
3
Miller
Foligno
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
0
Miller
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
48.3% (2,840)
+7.0%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
52.3% (731)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
44.0% (457)
+4.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Home / Away
Miller
Foligno
Home
56.0% (4,622)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Miller
Foligno
P1
54.8%
47.8%
P2
55.7%
50.5%
P3
54.1%
48.2%
OT
62.3%
29.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |