Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 63.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Miller
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Miller
Schmaltz
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Miller
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
41.3% (3,431)
+14.0%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
47.3% (655)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
47.4% (135)
+1.0%
On even strength, Miller has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Miller
Schmaltz
Home
56.0% (4,622)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Miller
Schmaltz
P1
54.8%
41.3%
P2
55.7%
42.8%
P3
54.1%
43.1%
OT
62.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |