Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 51.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 58.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 57.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Miller
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Miller
Bergeron
Last 7: Miller 3-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
4
Miller
Bergeron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
62.5% (1,109)
-6.8%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
62.2% (352)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
53.5% (245)
-6.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Miller
Bergeron
Home
56.1% (440)
61.9% (917)
Away
53.8% (446)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Miller
Bergeron
P1
52.3%
60.8%
P2
54.7%
60.3%
P3
57.2%
63.0%
OT
66.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
55.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |