J.T. Miller vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 25 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 39-37 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 50.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
39
(76 meetings)
37
39
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
16
9
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
11
16
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
10
14
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
44.8% (8,775)
+10.5%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
50.6% (844)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
37.8% (880)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.0% (4,622)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.8%
45.1%
P2
55.7%
43.9%
P3
54.1%
45.2%
OT
62.3%
43.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |