Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Couturier 55.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 55.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 54.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Miller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Miller
Couturier
Last 9: Miller 5-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Miller
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
5
Miller
Couturier
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
55.1% (1,008)
+3.1%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
64.1% (142)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
53.3% (45)
+5.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Miller
Couturier
Home
59.1% (558)
58.1% (609)
Away
57.3% (520)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Miller
Couturier
P1
60.7%
55.3%
P2
57.5%
55.8%
P3
56.1%
57.4%
OT
73.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
58.3%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |