Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Monahan 52.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 67.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 72.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Miller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Miller
Monahan
Last 6: Miller 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Miller
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Miller
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
53.0% (874)
+9.0%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
54.7% (161)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
47.5% (101)
+3.2%
On power play, Miller has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Miller
Monahan
Home
63.0% (416)
53.8% (558)
Away
60.1% (363)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Miller
Monahan
P1
60.7%
49.5%
P2
63.9%
54.8%
P3
60.2%
52.8%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
64.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |