Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Crosby 55.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 79.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 95.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 91.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Miller
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
4
(20 meetings)
16
4
Miller
Crosby
Last 10: Miller 9-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
0
Miller
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
8
3
Miller
Crosby
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
53.3% (1,025)
+8.7%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
64.7% (249)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
60.0% (15)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Miller
Crosby
Home
63.0% (416)
56.9% (675)
Away
60.1% (363)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Miller
Crosby
P1
60.7%
55.1%
P2
63.9%
53.1%
P3
60.2%
58.5%
OT
60.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
64.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |