Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Johnson 49.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 83.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 79.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 80.7%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Miller
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Miller
Johnson
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Miller
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Miller
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Miller
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
49.8% (5,396)
+5.5%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
54.6% (885)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
42.3% (707)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Miller
Johnson
Home
56.0% (4,622)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Miller
Johnson
P1
54.8%
50.1%
P2
55.7%
50.6%
P3
54.1%
48.4%
OT
62.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |