Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 49.7% vs Drury 58.1% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 77.0%
Defensive zone
Drury 92.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 69.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Gauthier
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gauthier
Drury
Last 7: Gauthier 4-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
0
Gauthier
Drury
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
3
Gauthier
Drury
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (116)
61.3% (690)
-17.3%
Power Play
56.3% (87)
40.0% (10)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
50.9% (165)
+15.8%
On even strength, Drury has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Gauthier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Gauthier shoots left. Drury is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Drury
Home
53.1% (98)
59.0% (417)
Away
46.3% (108)
59.2% (448)
By Period
Gauthier
Drury
P1
43.0%
58.9%
P2
55.4%
58.3%
P3
50.9%
59.9%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
48.0%▼
50.0%
49.5%
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jack Drury |