Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.5% vs 57.9%). Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.2% vs Toews 57.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 63.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 69.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 55.5%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Drury
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Drury
Toews
Last 8: Drury 3-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Drury
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Drury
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (1,998)
57.2% (13,079)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
63.3% (3,254)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
53.6% (1,810)
-0.6%
On power play, Toews has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,580).
Drury shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Home / Away
Drury
Toews
Home
58.2% (1,222)
59.7% (9,212)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
56.1% (8,962)
By Period
Drury
Toews
P1
56.0%
58.6%
P2
58.8%
57.9%
P3
57.3%
57.3%
OT
62.5%
58.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
57.5%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |