Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Dowling 48.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 83.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 90.4%
Neutral zone
Drury 88.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Drury
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Dowling
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Dowling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Dowling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Dowling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (1,818)
49.4% (652)
+8.5%
Power Play
59.0% (117)
40.6% (32)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (260)
33.3% (9)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Drury is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,438).
Drury shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Drury
Dowling
Home
58.5% (1,122)
48.2% (301)
Away
56.2% (1,073)
49.2% (392)
By Period
Drury
Dowling
P1
56.0%
47.6%
P2
58.7%
50.4%
P3
57.2%
48.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jack Drury |