Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs McCarron 52.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 59.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 86.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 75.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Drury
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Drury
McCarron
Last 8: Drury 3-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Drury
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
52.8% (697)
+8.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
18.2% (11)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
52.6% (211)
-1.7%
On power play, Drury has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Drury is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Drury shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Drury
McCarron
Home
59.0% (417)
52.8% (477)
Away
59.2% (448)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Drury
McCarron
P1
58.9%
56.2%
P2
58.3%
52.4%
P3
59.9%
48.7%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |