Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 63.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Dowd 48.6% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 80.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 72.9%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Drury
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Drury
Dowd
Last 5: Drury 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Drury
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
51.0% (671)
+9.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
0.0% (2)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
41.5% (224)
+9.4%
On power play, Drury has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drury is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Drury shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Drury
Dowd
Home
58.0% (429)
48.2% (471)
Away
59.2% (448)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Drury
Dowd
P1
58.6%
48.3%
P2
57.9%
46.8%
P3
59.2%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |