Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Donato 47.1% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 64.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 89.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 87.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Drury
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Drury
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Drury
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
46.8% (297)
+13.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
41.0% (39)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
100.0% (1)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Drury shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Drury
Donato
Home
58.0% (429)
45.8% (142)
Away
59.2% (448)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Drury
Donato
P1
58.6%
49.5%
P2
57.9%
45.7%
P3
59.2%
43.4%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |