Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.7%
Defensive zone
Drury 84.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 73.0%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Drury
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Drury
O'Reilly
Last 6: Drury 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Drury
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Drury
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
55.7% (856)
+5.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
57.5% (233)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
50.0% (144)
+0.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Drury is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Drury
O'Reilly
Home
59.0% (417)
55.5% (616)
Away
59.2% (448)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Drury
O'Reilly
P1
58.9%
58.1%
P2
58.3%
54.9%
P3
59.9%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jack Drury |