Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Drury wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 51.9%
Neutral zone
Drury 52.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Drury
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Drury
O'Reilly
Last 7: Drury 5-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Drury
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
5
0
Drury
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Drury
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
56.2% (15,290)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
58.7% (3,457)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
51.4% (2,826)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Drury shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Drury
O'Reilly
Home
57.9% (1,234)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Drury
O'Reilly
P1
55.9%
55.6%
P2
58.7%
57.0%
P3
57.1%
55.0%
OT
62.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jack Drury |