Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Monahan 52.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 88.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 73.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Drury
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Drury
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Drury
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Drury
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
53.0% (874)
+7.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
54.7% (161)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
47.5% (101)
+3.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Drury shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Drury
Monahan
Home
58.0% (429)
53.8% (558)
Away
59.2% (448)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Drury
Monahan
P1
58.6%
49.5%
P2
57.9%
54.8%
P3
59.2%
52.8%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |