Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Nosek 53.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 77.4%
Defensive zone
Drury 52.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 70.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Drury
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Drury
Nosek
Last 7: Drury 5-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Drury
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
54.9% (2,710)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
45.8% (48)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
47.2% (428)
+5.8%
On power play, Drury has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Drury shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Drury
Nosek
Home
57.9% (1,234)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Drury
Nosek
P1
55.9%
52.2%
P2
58.7%
54.1%
P3
57.1%
54.7%
OT
62.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Jack Drury |