Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Frederic 46.8% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 68.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 70.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 70.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Drury
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Drury
Frederic
Last 5: Drury 3-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Drury
Frederic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
46.3% (909)
+11.6%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
63.3% (30)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
35.5% (31)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Drury shoots left. Frederic is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Drury
Frederic
Home
57.9% (1,234)
47.6% (485)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
45.4% (485)
By Period
Drury
Frederic
P1
55.9%
41.9%
P2
58.7%
48.0%
P3
57.1%
49.8%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |