Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Johnson 49.7% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 71.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 60.6%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Drury
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Drury
Johnson
Last 7: Drury 3-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Drury
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
49.8% (5,396)
+8.1%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
54.6% (885)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
42.3% (707)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Drury is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (841).
Drury shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Drury
Johnson
Home
57.9% (1,234)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Drury
Johnson
P1
55.9%
50.1%
P2
58.7%
50.6%
P3
57.1%
48.4%
OT
62.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jack Drury |