Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Drury wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Trocheck 54.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 63.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 59.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Drury
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Drury
Trocheck
Last 10: Drury 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
5
Drury
Trocheck
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
6
Drury
Trocheck
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Drury
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
53.7% (10,944)
+4.2%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
60.9% (1,870)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
49.5% (1,472)
+3.5%
On even strength, Drury has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Drury is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (841).
Drury shoots left. Trocheck is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,918).
Home / Away
Drury
Trocheck
Home
57.9% (1,234)
56.3% (7,160)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
52.2% (7,126)
By Period
Drury
Trocheck
P1
55.9%
54.1%
P2
58.7%
54.7%
P3
57.1%
54.0%
OT
62.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |