Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.7% vs Eichel 48.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 78.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 70.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Eichel
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (917)
48.1% (894)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.1% (176)
55.2% (67)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (204)
41.7% (96)
+1.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
52.6% (639)
48.0% (548)
Away
48.9% (658)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
48.3%
49.8%
P2
54.0%
48.9%
P3
50.4%
46.4%
OT
41.2%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
54.0%▼
55.5%
50.7%
Eichel
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |