Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Bedard wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Eichel 45.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 72.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 75.7%
Neutral zone
Bedard 70.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Bedard
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
Bedard
Eichel
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
5
Bedard
Eichel
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
4
Bedard
Eichel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
5
9
Bedard
Eichel
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
44.8% (8,513)
-4.6%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
52.7% (929)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
37.8% (550)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Bedard shoots right. Eichel is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,913).
Home / Away
Bedard
Eichel
Home
43.3% (785)
45.8% (4,954)
Away
38.9% (957)
44.5% (5,038)
By Period
Bedard
Eichel
P1
38.9%
45.5%
P2
41.2%
45.8%
P3
42.5%
44.1%
OT
42.9%
44.1%
Final 5 min
44.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |