Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Tavares 57.7% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Eichel
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Eichel
Tavares
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Eichel
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
7
3
Eichel
Tavares
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
57.7% (998)
-11.8%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
60.5% (271)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
56.4% (39)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Eichel
Tavares
Home
46.5% (606)
59.7% (610)
Away
44.8% (648)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Eichel
Tavares
P1
47.2%
57.2%
P2
46.9%
58.5%
P3
42.7%
59.4%
OT
42.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
41.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |