Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Toews 60.4% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 64.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 63.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 63.3%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Eichel
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Eichel
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Eichel
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Eichel
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
62.6% (728)
-14.4%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
59.4% (143)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
46.9% (32)
-5.7%
On even strength, Toews has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Eichel shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Eichel
Toews
Home
48.0% (564)
61.1% (455)
Away
47.9% (509)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Eichel
Toews
P1
49.8%
59.7%
P2
48.6%
66.7%
P3
46.7%
58.4%
OT
37.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |