Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Hayes 47.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 29-28 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 58.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Eichel
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
28
(57 meetings)
29
28
Eichel
Hayes
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
14
7
Eichel
Hayes
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
16
Eichel
Hayes
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
12
5
Eichel
Hayes
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
47.5% (6,708)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
51.7% (702)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
45.3% (697)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Eichel shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hayes
Home
45.8% (4,954)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Eichel
Hayes
P1
45.5%
47.5%
P2
45.8%
47.6%
P3
44.1%
47.9%
OT
44.1%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |