Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 57.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 94.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 75.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Eichel
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eichel
Stenlund
Last 8: Eichel 6-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Eichel
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
56.2% (650)
-8.0%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
53.2% (47)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
51.6% (312)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Eichel shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stenlund
Home
48.0% (564)
56.9% (483)
Away
47.9% (509)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Eichel
Stenlund
P1
49.8%
54.2%
P2
48.6%
53.2%
P3
46.7%
56.9%
OT
37.5%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |