Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Eller 55.0% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 66.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Eichel
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eichel
Eller
Last 5: Eichel 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Eichel
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (894)
56.0% (459)
-7.9%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
77.8% (9)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
51.9% (54)
-10.2%
On power play, Eller has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Eichel shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Eichel
Eller
Home
48.0% (548)
52.6% (215)
Away
47.9% (509)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Eichel
Eller
P1
49.8%
54.1%
P2
48.9%
57.6%
P3
46.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.0%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |