Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 33 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Eller 50.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 48-35 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 84.8%
Defensive zone
Eichel 65.2%
Neutral zone
Eichel 77.0%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Eichel
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
48
(83 meetings)
35
48
Eichel
Eller
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
22
8
Eichel
Eller
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
27
Eichel
Eller
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
7
13
Eichel
Eller
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,498)
51.1% (10,321)
-6.4%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
52.8% (621)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (549)
46.6% (1,759)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,063).
Eichel shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Eichel
Eller
Home
45.8% (4,938)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Eichel
Eller
P1
45.5%
51.2%
P2
45.8%
50.1%
P3
44.1%
50.2%
OT
44.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
49.5%
45.1%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |