Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Duchene 51.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 60.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Eichel
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Eichel
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Eichel
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
0
Eichel
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
51.1% (366)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
61.5% (65)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
16.7% (6)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Eichel shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Eichel
Duchene
Home
48.0% (564)
51.7% (201)
Away
47.9% (509)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Eichel
Duchene
P1
49.8%
49.0%
P2
48.6%
57.1%
P3
46.7%
49.2%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |