Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Frost 50.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 70.4%
Defensive zone
Frost 51.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 66.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Eichel
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Eichel
Frost
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
6
10
Eichel
Frost
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
9
2
Eichel
Frost
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Eichel
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
49.7% (3,652)
-4.9%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
55.4% (632)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
55.0% (40)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Eichel shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Eichel
Frost
Home
45.8% (4,954)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Eichel
Frost
P1
45.5%
51.2%
P2
45.8%
51.3%
P3
44.1%
48.8%
OT
44.1%
64.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 25, 2024 | OT | 04:36 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |