Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Sturm 53.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 65.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 88.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 66.5%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Eichel
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eichel
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
54.6% (271)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
54.4% (90)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Eichel shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Eichel
Sturm
Home
48.0% (564)
53.0% (168)
Away
47.9% (509)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Eichel
Sturm
P1
49.8%
58.2%
P2
48.6%
53.2%
P3
46.7%
52.3%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |